Posted 15/6/2008 22:24 (#78) Subject: Suggested questions on knowledge of coalition outcomes
Recent findings by Kedar (2005), Meffert and Gschwend (2007), and Duch May and Armstrong (2008) suggest that voters anticipate the likely coalition outcomes that occur after an election and the coalition bargaining over policy priorities that occur as part of the negotiations associate with forming a coalition. The models employed by these scholars presume that voters are informed about the coalitions that likely form after an election. I would like to propose in a very preliminary fashion the following sets of coalition knowledge questions [obviously these are only relevant to countries with multiparty governing coalitions):
Current Coalition Knowledge
1) Would you please tell me which political parties are currently members of the Government coalition?
2) Would you please tell me the political party of the Prime Minister?
3) Would you please tell me the political party of the Finance Minister?
1) Would you please tell me which political party or parties usually enter coalition governments with the X party? [appropriate permutations of this question]
2) Can you identify any parties that are never in the government coalition?
3) Can you identify any parties that are almost always in the government coalition?
1) After the next election which parties do you expect to form a government coalition?
2) After the next election which party to you think will be the Prime Minister Party?
3) After the next election which party to you think will be the Finance Minister Party?
Posted 16/7/2008 16:05 (#92 - in reply to #78) Subject: RE: Suggested questions on knowledge of coalition outcomes
Location: University of Oxford, UK
Thank you for submitting this proposal to the Open Forum. The PIREDEU Steering Committee met at the end of June to evaluate each of the proposals. We assessed them on the basis of whether they met the following criteria:
* An explicit argument about why the proposed question/coding category merited inclusion in one or more of the PIREDEU data components.
* An explicit argument about the conceptual and theoretical foundations of the question/coding category.
* An explicit case for how the question/coding category facilitates integration and linking of several data components. The PIREDEU Steering Committee preferred proposals that allowed for conceptual integration across the five data components (i.e. voter survey, candidate survey, media study, manifestos and contextual data).
* An explicit consideration of how the proposed question/coding category linked with questions/coding categories in past data collection efforts.
The PIREDEU Steering Committee favoured proposals that ensured over time and across instrument comparability. Moreover, given that the voter and candidate surveys can only contain a limited number of question items, priority was given to proposals with succinct question formats.
On this basis we ranked each question in the proposal as follows:
(1) The proposed item will be included in data collection instrument (2) High priority proposal that will be included if space and time constraints permit (3) Proposal can only be included if additional funding is secured (4) Proposed item is not a priority
The item(s) from your proposal received the following ranking(s):
Instrument: Voter Survey
Coalition outcomes Ranking: 4
Rationale: These items were not included because the focus of the voter survey is on EP elections which do not lead to coalition formation.
Thank you again for your participation in this process. We hope that you will continue to use the Open Forum to comment on the questionnaires/codebook that will be posted online on the Forum in the autumn.
Mark Franklin Chair of the PIREDEU Steering Committee
Sara Hobolt Deputy Chair of the PIREDEU Steering Committee